第64章 《佃农理论》英语原著 (58) 第(1/3)页

正文卷

[17].Notethattherehadbeennotrendtowardincreasingcropareaformarginalcropsingeneralbefore1949.SeeDAF,Yearbook1950,sec.3.4.B.Thecrucialevidencehere,however,isthatthecropareaformarginalcropshadincreasedrelativelymorethanthatforintramarginalcropsunderthesharerestriction.Thethree-yearannualaverages(1949-51)ofthecropareaformarginalcropsusedhereafterarelessdramaticthantwo-yearannualaverages(1950-51),sincethesharerestrictionbeganinmid-1949.Seetable3forannualchanges.

[18].A"t"testwasrunontheobservationsofhectareyieldsbeforeandafterthesharerestrictionforallmarginalcropsintables6and7.Thestatisticsputedwerethestandardizedmeandifferenceofthetwenty-onepairedobservations.Thenullhypothesis,thattherewasnosystematicandsignificantdifferencebetweenthebeforeandafterhectareyields,wasrejectedatthea=.01levelofsignificance.Thehectareyieldsforthemarginalcropsunderthesharerestrictionweresignificantlylower,asisimpliedbythehypothesisofincreasedfarmingintensity.

[19].Notethatforitems16to20(table7),thedecreasesincropareawereassociatedwithdecreasesincrophectareyield.Thisisnotdifficulttounderstand.Theexhaustionofbetterlandandtimeandthehighercostofplantinggeneratedbyafasterrotationratebinedtoinflict"harmful"spilloversoncropsofthesameseasonalmargin.

[20].Informationonthegrowingtimerequiredformostvegetablesisusuallyinambiguoustermssuchas"twotothreemonths."Thatiswhywecitehereonlytheextremecasesforwhichthedemarcationofgrowingtimeisclear.